Sixteen years after it began, the Ocular Hypertension Treatment Trial is still generating fresh insights into one of the most vexing questions in glaucoma care: does treating ocular hypertension delay or perhaps even prevent glaucoma? About 4-8% of people in the US over the age of 40 (4.8 to 9.5 million individuals) have ocular hypertension. When questioning standards of care in a group of that size, any conclusive data will necessarily have profound implications for the economics of healthcare delivery and, of course, the lives of millions.
Attendees of this year's AGS were given an early look at the OHTS phase 2 data by Michael A. Kass, MD, principal investigator of the long-running study, which dates back to Bill Clinton's first term in office. In his 40-minute presentation, Dr. Kass reviewed the trial's phase 1 data, published in 2002, and provided highlights of the recently-completed second phase, on which a full report appears in the March 2010 Archives of Ophthalmology.
OHTS's goals were twofold, Dr. Kass said: (1) to answer once and for all the question of whether or not early treatment confers a protective effect and (2) to identify the baseline demographic and clinical factors that would predict which patients are likely to get glaucoma. The study enrolled 1636 subjects with baseline pressures of 24 to 32 mm Hg in one eye and 21 to 32 in the fellow eye, but normal visual fields at initial presentation. Subjects were randomized to either observation or a regimen of medical therapy sufficient to reduce IOP by at least 20% (the agent was chosen at the discretion of the investigator).
At the five-year mark, the incidence of POAG was nearly 60% lower in the medication group than the observation group. OHTS phase 1, Dr. Kass said, provided proof of concept; namely, that medication reduces the incidence of POAG. It did not, however, indicate when medical therapy should begin or whether or not all ocular hypertensives should begin treatment. Those were addressed in the second phase, by splitting the study group into early-treatment and late-treatment groups. After 7.5 years of observation, patients in the phase 1 observation group were offered the option to begin therapy; those in the original treatment group simply continued therapy. The early-treatment group continued therapy for 13 years while the late-treatment group has thus far logged 5.5 years of data in phase 2. Of the original 1636 individuals enrolled in OHTS, 1159 remained in the study for the duration of phase 2. The two groups differed in medication use, owing to the course of drug development during the study period. Most of those in the early-treatment group had begun the study on beta-blockers while the late-treatment group benefited from more recent medication launches and predominantly used prostaglandin analogs.
Charting the incidence of POAG in the two groups over the 13-year span of the study shows curves that initially diverge (i.e., a higher incidence in the observation group) but then become essentially parallel as the previously-untreated patients begin therapy. "The incidence of glaucoma was not different between the observation and medication groups once patients began treatment," Dr. Kass said. "This effect appears to be relatively rapid." The median time to develop glaucoma was 8.7 years in the early-treatment group and six years in the late-treatment group. As would be expected, African American patients developed glaucoma more readily than other ethnicities; however, race is not a significant predictor in a multivariate model that accounts for central corneal thickness and baseline c/d ratio. "If we'd had 10,000 African Americans instead of 400, race may have stayed in the model," Dr. Kass said, "but this is the limits of what we can do with the data that we have." Dr. Kass's group at Washington University in St. Louis have produced a risk calculator based on OTHS data that is available here.
Using the parameters at the basis of that calculator to
stratify subjects into three groups by baseline risk (low, middle and high) reveals some notable findings that have implications for care. "If you look at the difference between the medication group and the observation group, there's very little absolute reduction in the occurrence of glaucoma" among low-risk patients, Dr. Kass said. Those at low risk in the observation (i.e., late-treatment) group had a cumulative 13-year incidence of glaucoma of 8%; for the early-treatment group, the incidence was 7%. By contrast, in the high-risk stratum "there is a substantial absolute reduction in the occurrence of glaucoma in this high-risk group," he said. The high-risk, late-treatment group's cumulative incidence was 40% vs. 28% for the high-risk, early-treatment group.
There are likely to be a wide range of opinions on exactly how to incorporate these new findings into clinical practice, Dr. Kass said. "Some clinicians may elect to follow all ocular hypertensives without treatment," he observed, adding "I have no objection to that" provided the clinician is sophisticated in glaucoma diagnosis (as AGS members no doubt are) and aware of the need for timely visits and appropriate testing.
He finished up the 20th AGS lecture with the following observations and conclusions from the OTHS:
• Early medical treatment reduces the cumulative incidence of POAG; delaying treatment increases it.
• The absolute risk of glaucoma is greatest in high-risk individuals.
• Most ocular hypertensives are at low risk for glaucoma, and most low-risk patients can be followed without medication.
• Delaying treatment for 7.5 years resulted in only a small absolute increase in POAG in low-risk patients.
• Starting treatment of POAG at diagnosis has no major negative effect on prognosis over five years.
• High-risk patients may benefit from more frequent exams and early treatment, after taking into consideration factors such as patient age, health status, life expectancy and personal preference.
• For ocular hypertensives, the risk of developing glaucoma continues over at least a 15-year follow-up period.
• African Americans develop glaucoma at a higher rate despite similar treatment protocols and IOP levels. The higher incidence is related to their baseline risk factors.
• Individualized assessment of risk is useful to both patients and clinicians.
Tags: